Loading…
Futures rose on Monday after an attack on Saudi Arabia's oilfields lifted crude, with Brent up $8.80 to $69.20 a barrel. Chicago, Kansas and Minneapolis wheat, corn and soybeans all gained, and the Russian ruble weakened, supporting Russian wheat values.
Technical analysts said the market was overbought.
The oil spike and weaker ruble lifted grain values through energy linkages and higher Russian export prices. Corn in particular tracks crude through biofuel economics, so the price support depends on whether crude holds its gains.
graincentral.comGuest AuthorSep 17, 2019After 361 past bullish geopolitics events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median +0.7% over 5 sessions (58% higher; middle half -1.4% to +3.7%), and +1.3% over 20.
After 323 past bullish geopolitics events, Corn moved a median +0.5% over 5 sessions (57% higher; middle half -1.5% to +2.9%), and +0.9% over 20.
After 72 past bullish geopolitics events, Soybeans moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -1.0% to +2.5%), and -1.0% over 20.
After 656 past bullish geopolitics events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median +1.9% over 5 sessions (63% higher; middle half -2.7% to +6.6%), and +0.7% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
