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Oil prices hit a three-year high above $74 a barrel on Libyan and Venezuelan supply disruptions, a Canadian facility outage, and planned U.S. sanctions forcing buyers to drop Iranian crude by November. USDA's June acreage report showed corn plantings up over a million acres to 89.12 million.
Higher crude raises biofuel and transport costs, while the larger corn acreage is bearish for corn balance sheets, pressuring feed grain prices despite the energy rally.
greeleytribune.comAlex BeitingerJun 29, 2018After 626 past bullish geopolitics events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median +2.1% over 5 sessions (62% higher; middle half -2.3% to +8.5%), and +1.6% over 20.
After 656 past bullish geopolitics events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median +1.9% over 5 sessions (63% higher; middle half -2.7% to +6.6%), and +0.7% over 20.
After 87 past bearish geopolitics events, Corn moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -1.5% to +2.1%), and +0.3% over 20.
After 250 past bullish geopolitics events, ULSD / Diesel moved a median +1.7% over 5 sessions (58% higher; middle half -3.6% to +8.7%), and +0.9% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
