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Russian and Ukrainian attacks on Black Sea shipping and ports pushed CBOT wheat to a two-year high of $7.11-1/4. Soybeans reached a two-year peak and corn hit its highest in over a year, alongside a rally in crude oil.
Ukraine's president said Russia would step up attacks on vessels in the Black Sea.
The Black Sea supplies nearly one-third of global wheat exports, so export disruption tightens world wheat supply and lifts feed-grain costs. Continued threats to shipping keep upside risk in grains and feed ingredients.
gcaptain.comReutersJul 24, 2026After 361 past bullish geopolitics events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median +0.7% over 5 sessions (58% higher; middle half -1.4% to +3.7%), and +1.3% over 20.
After 323 past bullish geopolitics events, Corn moved a median +0.5% over 5 sessions (57% higher; middle half -1.5% to +2.9%), and +0.9% over 20.
After 72 past bullish geopolitics events, Soybeans moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -1.0% to +2.5%), and -1.0% over 20.
After 626 past bullish geopolitics events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median +2.1% over 5 sessions (62% higher; middle half -2.3% to +8.5%), and +1.6% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
