
WTI crude futures jumped as much as 14% intraday to a high of $77.62 after Israeli strikes on Iran, then pared gains to trade near $73. Iranian state media reported strikes over Tehran, and Iran's oil infrastructure appeared unscathed.
Fears of Middle East supply disruption lift crude and related energy costs, which raise feed production and transport expenses. The partial reversal suggests the market is pricing limited near-term supply impact.
After 626 past bullish geopolitics events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median +2.1% over 5 sessions (62% higher; middle half -2.3% to +8.5%), and +1.6% over 20.
After 250 past bullish geopolitics events, ULSD / Diesel moved a median +1.7% over 5 sessions (58% higher; middle half -3.6% to +8.7%), and +0.9% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
WTI jumped as much as 14% intraday on the Israeli strikes, directly generating the large weekly gain.
WTI spiked as much as 14% intraday on the Israeli strikes before paring gains, reflecting the sentiment shock.