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The Knox County weekly update for February 19 reported March corn up 9 cents at $4.96 and March soybeans down 13 cents at $10.36. Soybean meal fell $5.50 to $295.90 per short ton, while wheat gained, and US CPI came in hotter than expected.
Higher-than-expected inflation and a firmer dollar-linked macro backdrop can support commodity prices, while weaker soymeal reflects ample supply for feed buyers.
u.osu.eduJohn atFeb 19, 2025After 151 past bullish macro events, Corn moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (57% higher; middle half -0.9% to +1.4%), and -0.3% over 20.
After 273 past bearish macro events, Soybeans moved a median -0.4% over 5 sessions (44% higher; middle half -2.4% to +1.4%), and -0.5% over 20.
After 117 past bearish macro events, Soybean Meal moved a median -0.6% over 5 sessions (41% higher; middle half -2.5% to +1.7%), and +0.5% over 20.
After 565 past bearish macro events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median -1.4% over 5 sessions (41% higher; middle half -5.9% to +3.0%), and -0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
