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Weekly grain moves were driven by weather, currency and harvest pressure: canola fell 1.4%, corn rose 0.35% and soybeans rose 1.25%. The Bank of Canada raised its rate to 1%, lifting the Canadian dollar above 82.6 US cents, while the Brazilian real gained nearly 10% against the dollar over two months.
A firmer Brazilian real is slowing Brazilian producer selling, which tends to support export prices for soy and corn, while a stronger loonie weighs on Canadian canola values.
realagriculture.comBrennan TurnerSep 8, 2017Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 123 past bullish macro events, Soybeans moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -1.0% to +1.8%), and -0.4% over 20.
After 151 past bullish macro events, Corn moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (57% higher; middle half -0.9% to +1.4%), and -0.3% over 20.
After 301 past bullish macro events, Brazilian Real (BRL per USD) moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (57% higher; middle half -1.2% to +1.7%), and +1.0% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
