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Brazil's real weakened past R$5.50 per dollar, its highest level since January 2022, after President Lula's remarks on tax collection and spending. Future interest rates climbed as investors grew impatient with economic policy amid a challenging day for Latin American assets.
A sharply weaker real lowers the dollar cost of Brazilian soymeal, corn and soyoil exports, encouraging farmers to sell and weighing on world feed prices.
valorinternational.globo.comArthur Cagliari, Victor Rezende, Gabriel Roca, Matheus PradoJun 27, 2024After 301 past bullish macro events, Brazilian Real (BRL per USD) moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (57% higher; middle half -1.2% to +1.7%), and +1.0% over 20.
After 117 past bearish macro events, Soybean Meal moved a median -0.6% over 5 sessions (41% higher; middle half -2.5% to +1.7%), and +0.5% over 20.
After 301 past bearish macro events, Corn moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -2.2% to +1.3%), and +0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
