The Brazilian real fell about 2% in May 2017 amid ongoing political instability tied to corruption allegations against President Temer, which surfaced in March. Falling commodity and oil prices added to the pressure, and net foreign direct investment inflows in April fell 71% year on year.
Weakness in the real alongside lower commodity prices tends to push Brazilian export prices lower in dollar terms, which can weigh on global feed commodity prices.
After 301 past bullish macro events, Brazilian Real (BRL per USD) moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (57% higher; middle half -1.2% to +1.7%), and +1.0% over 20.
After 117 past bearish macro events, Soybean Meal moved a median -0.6% over 5 sessions (41% higher; middle half -2.5% to +1.7%), and +0.5% over 20.
After 301 past bearish macro events, Corn moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -2.2% to +1.3%), and +0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.