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Safras & Mercado reports Brazil's second-crop corn is nearly harvested and exports have reached 20 million tons against a 40 million ton target. Planting of the summer corn crop has begun in the South, with a sharp reduction in planted area expected.
Producers are cutting area due to credit costs, currency devaluation, and input prices, and La Niña remains uncertain.
A smaller Brazilian summer corn area could tighten supplies in the first half of 2025 and support corn prices, while currency weakness may keep export prices competitive.
ukragroconsult.comSep 12, 2024After 151 past bullish macro events, Corn moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (57% higher; middle half -0.9% to +1.4%), and -0.3% over 20.
After 301 past bullish macro events, Brazilian Real (BRL per USD) moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (57% higher; middle half -1.2% to +1.7%), and +1.0% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
