Soybean meal for December delivery fell $14.22/t in a single day, the largest daily drop since April, to $384.92/t FOB Paranagua, the lowest since August 24. Meal futures fell 8.3% over two weeks as the real's sharp depreciation pushed Brazilian and Chinese meal prices lower.
A weaker real makes Brazilian meal cheaper for export, pulling global soymeal benchmarks lower and easing feed protein costs.
After 117 past bearish macro events, Soybean Meal moved a median -0.6% over 5 sessions (41% higher; middle half -2.5% to +1.7%), and +0.5% over 20.
After 301 past bullish macro events, Brazilian Real (BRL per USD) moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (57% higher; middle half -1.2% to +1.7%), and +1.0% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.