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The Brazilian real hit a new all-time low against the dollar on November 28 and fell further on November 29. Markets reacted to fiscal plans that failed to satisfy foreign investors, with concerns about rising state spending and debt.
A record-weak real improves Brazil's export competitiveness in soy and corn, likely adding pressure on world feed grain and meal prices, while raising Brazilian feed import costs.
finbold.comVinicius BarbosaNov 29, 2024After 301 past bullish macro events, Brazilian Real (BRL per USD) moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (57% higher; middle half -1.2% to +1.7%), and +1.0% over 20.
After 117 past bearish macro events, Soybean Meal moved a median -0.6% over 5 sessions (41% higher; middle half -2.5% to +1.7%), and +0.5% over 20.
After 301 past bearish macro events, Corn moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -2.2% to +1.3%), and +0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
