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The Brazilian real fell below 4.35 per dollar for the first time on February 12, a fourth straight record low, with year-to-date losses near 8%. Weaker-than-expected December retail sales, the first decline in eight months, added to pressure from speculative selling and dollar hedging demand.
A weaker real makes Brazilian soybean and corn exports cheaper in dollar terms, which can encourage farmer selling and pressure global soymeal and corn prices.
investing.comFeb 12, 2020After 301 past bullish macro events, Brazilian Real (BRL per USD) moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (57% higher; middle half -1.2% to +1.7%), and +1.0% over 20.
After 117 past bearish macro events, Soybean Meal moved a median -0.6% over 5 sessions (41% higher; middle half -2.5% to +1.7%), and +0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
