The Brazilian real weakened 1.4% against the dollar, which rose to 20-year highs on expectations of a 50-basis-point Fed rate hike. Brazilian and Latin American currencies fell broadly, with the Mexican, Chilean and Colombian pesos each dropping more than 1%.
A stronger dollar and a weaker Latin American currency bloc can lower the dollar-denominated prices of exported oilseeds and grains, which affects feed input costs.
After 301 past bullish macro events, Brazilian Real (BRL per USD) moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (57% higher; middle half -1.2% to +1.7%), and +1.0% over 20.
After 2,356 past bullish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
On the final day BRL fell another 1.4% as the dollar hit 20-year highs on Fed hike expectations, extending the move through the window end.