The Brazilian real held steady against a surging dollar after Brazil's inflation rose by more than the month before, though less than forecast. Analysts expect the central bank to raise the Selic rate by another 100 basis points at its next meeting.
Higher Brazilian interest rates support the real, but tighter monetary policy also slows domestic growth and demand for feed and livestock products.
After 92 past neutral macro events, USDBRL moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (58% higher; middle half -0.7% to +1.4%), and +0.4% over 20.
After 2,356 past bullish macro events, DXY moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.