The Mexican peso rose 2.4% on June 12, 2020, recovering from a nearly 4% loss the previous day, while the Brazilian real slipped 1%. The moves followed a second-wave COVID-19 scare in the US that hit oil prices and risk sentiment.
Sharp swings in the peso and real affect the dollar cost of Latin American feed imports, and oil-driven moves can shift biofuel-linked demand for vegetable oils and meals.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 92 past neutral macro events, Brazilian Real (BRL per USD) moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (58% higher; middle half -0.7% to +1.4%), and +0.4% over 20.
After 565 past bearish macro events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median -1.4% over 5 sessions (41% higher; middle half -5.9% to +3.0%), and -0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.