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Latin American currencies pared early losses on Friday as the dollar held multi-month highs after upbeat US jobs data. The Colombian peso slid as much as 0.7% before recovering 0.5%, supported by crude prices hitting 14-month highs after OPEC+ extended output cuts.
Colombia's finance ministry raised its 2021 fiscal deficit forecast to 8.6% from 7.6%, well above market expectations.
Higher crude prices support oil-exporting currencies like the Colombian peso, while a stronger dollar and rising US yields pressure Latam currencies and EM debt, which can weigh on Latin American demand for imported feed and raise import costs.
financialpost.comReutersMar 5, 2021After 487 past bullish macro events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median +1.0% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -2.0% to +4.0%), and +1.5% over 20.
After 323 past bullish macro events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median +0.7% over 5 sessions (58% higher; middle half -2.9% to +3.7%), and +1.3% over 20.
After 2,356 past bullish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
