
Argentine dollar demand in July rose 35% month on month to US$3.4 billion, the highest since the pre-midterm panic of last year, according to central bank data. Dollar sales fell 13% to US$608 million.
The war in Iran has unexpectedly helped President Milei keep the peso stable through higher oil prices.
Strong dollar demand and higher oil revenue shape Argentina's currency and export incentives, which feed into how much Argentine grain and oilseed is sold abroad. The direct effect on feed commodity prices is small.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 323 past bullish macro events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median +0.7% over 5 sessions (58% higher; middle half -2.9% to +3.7%), and +1.3% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.