Goldman Sachs expects OPEC's pricing power to limit downside risk to oil prices, forecasting 2.7 million bpd of 2023 demand growth and Brent reaching $105 by Q4. The bank says OPEC could keep or deepen its October cuts if demand softens.
A bullish bank forecast with OPEC support points to higher energy input costs through 2023, although it is an analyst view rather than a supply shock.
After 323 past bullish macro events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median +0.7% over 5 sessions (58% higher; middle half -2.9% to +3.7%), and +1.3% over 20.
After 487 past bullish macro events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median +1.0% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -2.0% to +4.0%), and +1.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.