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Goldman Sachs attributes the July 2023 oil price rally mainly to China's demand recovery and expected stimulus, and says demand outside China is holding up better than feared. The bank reiterated a 12-month Brent target of $93 per barrel and upgraded its demand outlook, with Brent trading above $85.
Stronger crude prices raise diesel and energy costs for feed milling and transport, and oil-linked biofuel economics can pull vegetable oil and corn demand. Expectations of an OPEC+-driven deficit point to continued upward pressure on energy input costs.
oilprice.comTom KoolJul 31, 2023After 323 past bullish macro events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median +0.7% over 5 sessions (58% higher; middle half -2.9% to +3.7%), and +1.3% over 20.
After 487 past bullish macro events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median +1.0% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -2.0% to +4.0%), and +1.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
