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An FX strategist notes that the Russian ruble and Colombian peso have begun correlating more closely with oil prices after lagging the commodity rally. The analysis says both currencies have outperformed the broader emerging-market FX group.
Oil-linked currency strength reflects higher energy prices, which raise biofuel and transport input costs and can support vegetable oil and feed prices.
smartkarma.comOct 14, 2021After 487 past bullish macro events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median +1.0% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -2.0% to +4.0%), and +1.5% over 20.
After 323 past bullish macro events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median +0.7% over 5 sessions (58% higher; middle half -2.9% to +3.7%), and +1.3% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
