
The Canadian dollar dipped on Friday but was near a six-week high, posting a third weekly gain. US crude settled 1.7% higher at $118.87 a barrel after OPEC agreed a slightly larger output increase and US payrolls rose 390,000.
Firm oil prices support the loonie and raise energy input costs; the expectation of aggressive Fed hikes also points to a stronger US dollar, a macro backdrop for commodity prices.
After 487 past bullish macro events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median +1.0% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -2.0% to +4.0%), and +1.5% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.