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Oil prices have rallied to seven-year highs, with WTI up 50% over the past year to more than US$90 a barrel, while the Canadian dollar has stalled near 79 US cents. Bank of Montreal's chief economist says higher oil no longer gives Canada the economic boost it once did, because oil capex has not recovered since 2014-16 and the U.S. is now a major producer.
The weakening oil-loonie link is an analytical observation about currency and energy correlation, with limited direct effect on feed commodity prices.
theglobeandmail.comMatt LundyFeb 17, 2022After 487 past bullish macro events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median +1.0% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -2.0% to +4.0%), and +1.5% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
