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The Canadian dollar steadied against the US dollar as a jump in oil prices raised expectations of multiple Bank of Canada rate hikes this year. The BoC held its rate at 2.25%, and markets priced 59 basis points of tightening in 2026.
US crude settled nearly 7% higher at $106.88 a barrel amid deadlocked US-Iran negotiations.
Higher oil supports the loonie and signals tighter Canadian and US financing costs, which can weigh on feed-buying margins and currency-sensitive export pricing. Crude strength also raises diesel and fertilizer costs for farmers.
theglobeandmail.comFergal SmithApr 29, 2026After 487 past bullish macro events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median +1.0% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -2.0% to +4.0%), and +1.5% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 359 past neutral macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median -0.0% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -0.4% to +0.4%), and -0.1% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
