
The Canadian dollar strengthened against the U.S. dollar on Thursday as crude oil rebounded about 2.3% to $75.68 a barrel after a sharp decline the previous session, supported by Russian supply curbs. Gains for the loonie were modest because U.S. jobless claims fell unexpectedly, reinforcing expectations of tighter Fed policy.
A firmer loonie makes Canadian canola and other exports dearer in U.S. dollar terms, while higher crude supports energy-linked costs for feed transport and processing. Rate expectations are the main near-term driver of the currency.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 487 past bullish macro events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median +1.0% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -2.0% to +4.0%), and +1.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.