
The Canadian dollar rebounded on Monday as Canada's current account stayed in surplus and risk appetite improved after Friday's selloff over the Omicron variant. U.S. crude rallied 6.9% to $72.83 a barrel, and two Omicron cases were confirmed in Canada.
The loonie tracks oil and risk sentiment, so the rebound in crude reflects easing fears about demand loss from the new variant. Renewed COVID uncertainty keeps energy and commodity-linked currencies volatile.
After 487 past bullish macro events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median +1.0% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -2.0% to +4.0%), and +1.5% over 20.
After 323 past bullish macro events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median +0.7% over 5 sessions (58% higher; middle half -2.9% to +3.7%), and +1.3% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.