
The Canadian dollar strengthened on June 30, 2017 after Canadian GDP matched forecasts at 0.2% and the US dollar weakened broadly. WTI and Brent crude rose about 3% as the Baker Hughes rig count dipped and reports circulated of possible further OPEC cuts.
Higher crude prices support the loonie and reflect tighter oil expectations, which can feed into biofuel-linked demand for vegetable oils. The currency move mainly affects Canadian export competitiveness.
After 487 past bullish macro events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median +1.0% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -2.0% to +4.0%), and +1.5% over 20.
After 323 past bullish macro events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median +0.7% over 5 sessions (58% higher; middle half -2.9% to +3.7%), and +1.3% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.