
Brent and WTI spot prices recovered their losses after the dovish FOMC, despite a US crude inventory draw of 7.2 million barrels against an expected 2.6 million. Analysts cited Saudi production cuts and possible Venezuelan financial trouble as supportive factors.
Prices were held near $50 a barrel.
A large inventory draw and OPEC supply restraint support crude prices, which feed into diesel, fertilizer and freight costs. Price gains beyond that depend on whether the draws continue.
After 487 past bullish macro events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median +1.0% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -2.0% to +4.0%), and +1.5% over 20.
After 323 past bullish macro events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median +0.7% over 5 sessions (58% higher; middle half -2.9% to +3.7%), and +1.3% over 20.
After 1,637 past bearish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (39% higher; middle half -0.6% to +0.3%), and -0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.