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Goldman Sachs forecasts a commodities bull market in 2021, projecting a 12-month return of 30% on the S&P GSCI. It recommends long positions in silver, copper, gold, US natural gas, Brent and jet fuel, citing tight supply, Chinese demand and adverse weather.
Bank forecasts of a broad commodities rally driven by a weaker dollar and inflation expectations can attract fund inflows that lift futures prices, including agricultural markets.
cnbc.comNatasha TurakOct 22, 2020After 151 past bullish macro events, Corn moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (57% higher; middle half -0.9% to +1.4%), and -0.3% over 20.
After 123 past bullish macro events, Soybeans moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -1.0% to +1.8%), and -0.4% over 20.
After 57 past bullish macro events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (65% higher; middle half -0.5% to +1.7%), and -0.7% over 20.
After 1,637 past bearish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (39% higher; middle half -0.6% to +0.3%), and -0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
