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Reuters commentary argues that the Federal Reserve keeping rates low to target labour market slack will add pressure on capacity and prices in manufacturing and raw materials. It expects high consumer and business spending to keep most commodities in short supply through 2021 and 2022.
Sustained easy policy and strong demand support upward pressure on raw material prices, which is bullish for feed inputs and grains over the medium term.
reuters.comJohn KempApr 30, 2021After 151 past bullish macro events, CORN moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (57% higher; middle half -0.9% to +1.4%), and -0.3% over 20.
After 123 past bullish macro events, SOY moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -1.0% to +1.8%), and -0.4% over 20.
After 57 past bullish macro events, WHEAT moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (65% higher; middle half -0.5% to +1.7%), and -0.7% over 20.
After 1,637 past bearish macro events, DXY moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (39% higher; middle half -0.6% to +0.3%), and -0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
