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Global dairy commodity prices have started to recover from 2022 highs, while processors face pressure to cut farmgate milk prices. Feed ingredient prices remain above January 2022 levels, and fertilizer prices fell in February as natural gas costs eased.
Falling farmgate prices and easing fertilizer costs mean lower dairy margins and softer input-cost pressure, while tight corn and wheat supply from the Black Sea and dry US weather keep feed prices supported.
dairyreporter.comTeodora LyubomirovaMar 17, 2023After 49 past bearish macro events, Milk (Class III) moved a median -0.6% over 5 sessions (33% higher; middle half -8.5% to +0.6%), and -7.5% over 20.
After 151 past bullish macro events, Corn moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (57% higher; middle half -0.9% to +1.4%), and -0.3% over 20.
After 57 past bullish macro events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (65% higher; middle half -0.5% to +1.7%), and -0.7% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
