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Dairy producers report average wages up 10% to 15% and parts costs up 20% or more versus a year ago. Corn futures rose 32% and soybeans 48% year-over-year in the first four months of 2021, and May feed price peaks would have pushed Class III breakevens to about $21.50 per cwt.
High feed and input costs squeeze dairy producer margins, which can reduce herd sizes and eventually lower demand for corn and soybean meal used in dairy rations.
dairyproducer.comJeff DayJul 7, 2021After 151 past bullish macro events, Corn moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (57% higher; middle half -0.9% to +1.4%), and -0.3% over 20.
After 44 past bullish macro events, Soybean Meal moved a median -0.6% over 5 sessions (34% higher; middle half -1.9% to +0.9%), and -2.9% over 20.
After 49 past bearish macro events, Milk (Class III) moved a median -0.6% over 5 sessions (33% higher; middle half -8.5% to +0.6%), and -7.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
