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Wells Fargo economist Michael Swanson said US domestic dairy demand cannot absorb recent production growth of nearly 2%, so strong exports are needed. He argued that if exports hold at record 2020 levels, the surplus can be absorbed, but otherwise prices face downward pressure and herd cuts are likely.
Expected herd reductions in mid-2021 and reliance on export demand point to softer milk prices and a potential drop in dairy feed demand.
brownfieldagnews.comNicole HeslipFeb 18, 2021After 49 past bearish macro events, Milk (Class III) moved a median -0.6% over 5 sessions (33% higher; middle half -8.5% to +0.6%), and -7.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
