Feed prices dropped sharply, with September corn closing below $6/bu, August soybeans down 70.5 cents to $14.39, and August soybean meal falling to $410/ton. Analysts described these as the best feed prices since last fall, and the decline followed a 4.1% drop in the global dairy trade auction index.
Lower corn, soybean and soybean meal prices reduce feed costs for dairies, while a strong dollar and inflation fears weigh on export demand and milk prices. Buyers may use the dip to cover future feed needs.
After 301 past bearish macro events, Corn moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -2.2% to +1.3%), and +0.2% over 20.
After 273 past bearish macro events, Soybeans moved a median -0.4% over 5 sessions (44% higher; middle half -2.4% to +1.4%), and -0.5% over 20.
After 117 past bearish macro events, Soybean Meal moved a median -0.6% over 5 sessions (41% higher; middle half -2.5% to +1.7%), and +0.5% over 20.
After 49 past bearish macro events, Milk (Class III) moved a median -0.6% over 5 sessions (33% higher; middle half -8.5% to +0.6%), and -7.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.