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Commodity prices fell last week as central banks, including the US Federal Reserve with a 75 basis point hike to a 3% to 3.25% target range, tightened policy to fight inflation. Gold dropped 1.9% to near its lowest since April 2020, and silver, platinum and base metals also declined as the dollar index rose above 114.
A stronger dollar and recession concerns reduce demand expectations and raise the cost of dollar-priced raw materials, weighing on broad commodity prices including feed inputs.
aa.com.trBurhan SansarliogluSep 26, 2022After 2,356 past bullish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
After 301 past bearish macro events, Corn moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -2.2% to +1.3%), and +0.2% over 20.
After 273 past bearish macro events, Soybeans moved a median -0.4% over 5 sessions (44% higher; middle half -2.4% to +1.4%), and -0.5% over 20.
After 565 past bearish macro events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median -1.4% over 5 sessions (41% higher; middle half -5.9% to +3.0%), and -0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
