Loading…
Agricultural economist Brent Gloy said COVID-19 has hit nearly all U.S. commodities, with lean hog prices down 45% and fed cattle down 28% since January by mid-April. Class III milk futures fell 37% and corn and soybean prices dropped 13% and 9% over the same period.
Demand destruction from the foodservice shutdown and processing bottlenecks is pushing livestock, dairy and feed grain prices lower, which reduces feed-ingredient costs but signals weak livestock demand.
capitalpress.comCAROL RYAN DUMASCapital PressApr 21, 2020After 17 past bearish macro events, Lean Hogs moved a median -1.0% over 5 sessions (35% higher; middle half -2.5% to +0.8%), and -1.6% over 20.
After 37 past bearish macro events, Live Cattle moved a median -1.1% over 5 sessions (30% higher; middle half -4.3% to +0.4%), and -0.4% over 20.
After 27 past bearish macro events, Feeder Cattle moved a median -0.9% over 5 sessions (37% higher; middle half -3.7% to +0.4%), and 0.0% over 20.
After 49 past bearish macro events, Milk (Class III) moved a median -0.6% over 5 sessions (33% higher; middle half -8.5% to +0.6%), and -7.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
