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Class III milk futures and cheese prices fell sharply in late March 2020 as COVID-19 fears spread. Cheddar blocks dropped to $1.33 and barrels to $1.2050, the lowest levels in several years.
Foodservice cheese orders slipped while retail demand stayed firm.
Weakening foodservice demand for cheese feeds directly into lower milk futures and lower farm milk prices.
capitalpress.comLEE MIELKEFor the Capital PressMar 31, 2020After 49 past bearish macro events, Milk (Class III) moved a median -0.6% over 5 sessions (33% higher; middle half -8.5% to +0.6%), and -7.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Published 2020-03-31, it reports that cheese blocks and barrels hit multi-year lows and Class III futures fell sharply on COVID-19 foodservice fears, which directly explains the one-day drop.
Cheese block and barrel prices collapsed to multi-year lows in late March as foodservice orders fell, directly pressuring Class III futures, which are priced off cheese.
Cheddar blocks and barrels dropped to multi-year lows as foodservice cheese orders slipped, pressuring Class III, which is priced off cheese and whey.
Late-March collapse in cheese blocks and barrels to multi-year lows fed directly into Class III futures, which are driven by cheese prices.
