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Brent and WTI crude settled at their lowest levels since before Russia's February invasion of Ukraine as traders feared a recession would cut energy demand. The Bank of England raised rates and warned of a prolonged downturn, while Saudi Arabia and the UAE held back spare output for a possible winter supply crunch.
Recession fears weigh on expected fuel demand, pressuring crude and, through energy costs, the broader commodity complex that feed buyers pay for. Tight physical supply limits the downside.
reuters.comNoah BrowningAug 4, 2022After 312 past bearish macro events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median -1.7% over 5 sessions (38% higher; middle half -5.4% to +2.3%), and -1.7% over 20.
After 565 past bearish macro events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median -1.4% over 5 sessions (41% higher; middle half -5.9% to +3.0%), and -0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Brent settled at its lowest since before the Ukraine invasion on recession fears and a BoE rate hike with a warning of prolonged downturn, which cut expected energy demand and drove the bulk of the weekly decline.
