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US crude futures fell more than 6% on April 4 to about $62.72 a barrel, touching below $61 intraday, the lowest since 2021. The decline followed tariff announcements seen raising recession risks and OPEC+ production hikes.
Weaker economic growth expectations and a bigger OPEC+ supply outlook reduce crude demand prospects, pressuring energy prices and lowering input costs for feed and fuel.
cnbc.comJesse PoundApr 4, 2025After 565 past bearish macro events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median -1.4% over 5 sessions (41% higher; middle half -5.9% to +3.0%), and -0.5% over 20.
After 312 past bearish macro events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median -1.7% over 5 sessions (38% higher; middle half -5.4% to +2.3%), and -1.7% over 20.
After 79 past bearish macro events, ULSD / Diesel moved a median -1.0% over 5 sessions (39% higher; middle half -5.7% to +1.7%), and -1.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
WTI fell more than 6% to a multi-year low on recession fears and OPEC+ supply hikes, which dragged down ULSD.
Apr 4 crude drop on recession fears and OPEC+ hikes, consistent with the window's demand and supply drivers.
US crude fell over 6% to the lowest since 2021 on recession risk and OPEC+ hikes, which supports the same demand and supply drivers.
US crude fell over 6% on April 4 on recession risk and OPEC+ hikes.
