
New York crude futures fell 4.4% on September 21, 2020, the most in almost two weeks, as equities slid on worries about prolonged coronavirus restrictions. Libya moved toward resuming oil exports from fields free of foreign fighters, adding to supply already rising from OPEC+.
Demand concerns grew as BP called the end of oil-demand growth and a lockdown threatened to build inventories.
Rising supply from Libya and OPEC+ combined with weaker demand expectations pressures crude and diesel prices, which lowers input and freight costs for feed production.
After 565 past bearish macro events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median -1.4% over 5 sessions (41% higher; middle half -5.9% to +3.0%), and -0.5% over 20.
After 312 past bearish macro events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median -1.7% over 5 sessions (38% higher; middle half -5.4% to +2.3%), and -1.7% over 20.
After 79 past bearish macro events, ULSD / Diesel moved a median -1.0% over 5 sessions (39% higher; middle half -5.7% to +1.7%), and -1.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.