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Brent fell 14.5% to $65.5 per barrel and WTI fell 15.2% to $61.7 over two sessions after China imposed an additional 34% tariff on US goods. Chicago soyoil fell 4.8% to $1,009 per tonne and May soybean futures dropped 3.7% on the tariff news.
The sharp crude decline reduces biofuel feedstock demand and drags vegetable oil prices, while trade-war uncertainty adds downside risk to demand.
ukragroconsult.comApr 7, 2025After 312 past bearish macro events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median -1.7% over 5 sessions (38% higher; middle half -5.4% to +2.3%), and -1.7% over 20.
After 565 past bearish macro events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median -1.4% over 5 sessions (41% higher; middle half -5.9% to +3.0%), and -0.5% over 20.
After 40 past bearish macro events, Soybean Oil moved a median -0.8% over 5 sessions (45% higher; middle half -4.5% to +1.7%), and -1.5% over 20.
After 51 past bearish macro events, Palm Oil moved a median -1.3% over 5 sessions (35% higher; middle half -4.1% to +1.1%), and -1.8% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Crude fell ~14.5% over two sessions and soyoil dropped 4.8%, with palm and soy oils down 4.4-5.9%, via weaker biodiesel/energy linkage and rival oil pricing.
Brent fell 14.5% in two sessions after China's tariffs, with soyoil and palm oil following, so this measures the move and its spillover to feed-related oils.
Quantifies the two-session WTI drop of 15.2% after China's tariffs.
