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Palm oil prices fell about 10% in the week to March 13 as crude oil sold off after a Saudi-Russia price war and US travel restrictions on Europe. Palm is down 27% from its January peak, trading near 2,281 ringgit per tonne.
Analysts note that softer food-service demand in China is shifting use toward soyoil.
Lower crude weakens biodiesel-linked palm demand, while shifts from palm to soyoil in food use reshape vegoil spreads for feed buyers.
thegrocer.co.ukHarry HolmesMar 13, 2020After 51 past bearish macro events, Palm Oil moved a median -1.3% over 5 sessions (35% higher; middle half -4.1% to +1.1%), and -1.8% over 20.
After 28 past bullish macro events, Soybean Oil moved a median -1.2% over 5 sessions (32% higher; middle half -2.1% to +1.8%), and -2.3% over 20.
After 312 past bearish macro events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median -1.7% over 5 sessions (38% higher; middle half -5.4% to +2.3%), and -1.7% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Palm fell about 10% in the week to March 13 on the crude sell-off, and weaker Chinese food-service demand adds to the pressure; the week overlaps the window.
