
Oil fell on February 1 after Trump said he would push Saudi Arabia and OPEC to lower crude prices. WTI slid 1.1% to settle below $75 a barrel.
Official pressure on OPEC to cut prices lowers expected energy costs for feed production. Whether the price drop holds depends on OPEC+ action.
After 565 past bearish macro events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median -1.4% over 5 sessions (41% higher; middle half -5.9% to +3.0%), and -0.5% over 20.
After 312 past bearish macro events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median -1.7% over 5 sessions (38% higher; middle half -5.4% to +2.3%), and -1.7% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.