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Brent crude fell 14.5% to $65.5 per barrel and WTI dropped 15.2% to $61.7 over two sessions after China's additional 34% tariffs on US goods. Chicago soyoil futures fell 4.8% to $1,009 per tonne, with vegetable oils hit hardest.
Lower crude weakens biodiesel economics and vegetable oil demand, pressuring palm and soyoil prices as trade-war fears persist.
agroreview.comКоваленко СергійApr 7, 2025After 312 past bearish macro events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median -1.7% over 5 sessions (38% higher; middle half -5.4% to +2.3%), and -1.7% over 20.
After 565 past bearish macro events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median -1.4% over 5 sessions (41% higher; middle half -5.9% to +3.0%), and -0.5% over 20.
After 40 past bearish macro events, Soybean Oil moved a median -0.8% over 5 sessions (45% higher; middle half -4.5% to +1.7%), and -1.5% over 20.
After 51 past bearish macro events, Palm Oil moved a median -1.3% over 5 sessions (35% higher; middle half -4.1% to +1.1%), and -1.8% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Same crude and soyoil collapse after China's tariffs, with vegetable oils hit hardest, transmitting lower prices to palm.
It documents the 14.5% two-session Brent drop on China's tariffs and the transmission to vegetable oils.
