
Oil prices fell for a second day on April 21, 2021, to their lowest in a week. Brent settled down $1.25 (2%) at $65.32 a barrel and WTI June fell 2.1% to $61.35 after an unexpected build in US crude inventories.
Concerns over surging COVID-19 cases in India, the third-biggest oil importer, weighed on demand expectations.
A larger-than-expected US crude stock build and weaker Indian fuel demand point to softer near-term energy prices. Lower diesel and crude costs can ease freight and processing expenses for feed producers.
After 565 past bearish macro events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median -1.4% over 5 sessions (41% higher; middle half -5.9% to +3.0%), and -0.5% over 20.
After 312 past bearish macro events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median -1.7% over 5 sessions (38% higher; middle half -5.4% to +2.3%), and -1.7% over 20.
After 79 past bearish macro events, ULSD / Diesel moved a median -1.0% over 5 sessions (39% higher; middle half -5.7% to +1.7%), and -1.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.