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WTI May futures settled at negative $37.63 per barrel after a collapse in demand and a lack of storage. Commentary explains that long holders faced delivery with nowhere to store the oil, and that retail diesel does not fall as fast as crude.
Crude's collapse is driven by oversupply and storage limits, and pass-through to diesel is slower, so fuel costs for buyers fall less than headline crude suggests.
freightwaves.comBrian StraightApr 22, 2020After 565 past bearish macro events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median -1.4% over 5 sessions (41% higher; middle half -5.9% to +3.0%), and -0.5% over 20.
After 79 past bearish macro events, ULSD / Diesel moved a median -1.0% over 5 sessions (39% higher; middle half -5.7% to +1.7%), and -1.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
It describes the crude collapse and how it passes through to diesel prices, though retail prices lag futures.
