
Oil prices fell sharply after an oversupply shock attributed to U.S. shale output, limited OPEC production cuts, and U.S. sanctions waivers for Iranian oil. Signs are growing that oil consumption is slowing in China, India and other emerging Asian economies, which account for two-thirds of global demand growth.
The U.S.-China trade dispute and eurozone protests in France add further downside risk to demand.
A slowdown in demand from the main sources of growth removes support for crude prices, reinforcing bearish pressure on energy markets and easing fuel and freight costs for feed buyers.
After 565 past bearish macro events, WTI moved a median -1.4% over 5 sessions (41% higher; middle half -5.9% to +3.0%), and -0.5% over 20.
After 312 past bearish macro events, BRENT moved a median -1.7% over 5 sessions (38% higher; middle half -5.4% to +2.3%), and -1.7% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.