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WTI and RBOB gasoline fell on concerns that interest rates will stay high, weak US data including rising jobless claims, a sharp drop in pending home sales and a downward revision to Q1 GDP. Crude also faced a three-and-a-quarter-month low in the crack spread, while Middle East conflict offered some support.
Weak US growth data and a weaker crack spread reduce refiner crude demand and signal softer energy consumption, which tends to pressure diesel and fuel costs for feed logistics.
barchart.comRich AsplundMay 30, 2024After 565 past bearish macro events, WTI moved a median -1.4% over 5 sessions (41% higher; middle half -5.9% to +3.0%), and -0.5% over 20.
After 79 past bearish macro events, DIESEL moved a median -1.0% over 5 sessions (39% higher; middle half -5.7% to +1.7%), and -1.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
