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Crude palm oil futures on Bursa Malaysia Derivatives fell below RM2,500 per tonne, their lowest since November 2019, as broader equity and commodity markets sold off on Covid-19 concerns. Soybean oil also dropped on the Chicago Board of Trade and Dalian Commodity Exchange.
AmSpec data showed Malaysian palm oil exports for February 1-25 fell 3% from the January period.
Covid-19 lockdowns and event cancellations threatened consumer and business demand, weighing on vegetable oil prices and export flows. Lower palm and soy oil prices reduce the cost of these fats for feed formulators but signal weaker demand.
malaymail.comFeb 25, 2020After 51 past bearish macro events, Palm Oil moved a median -1.3% over 5 sessions (35% higher; middle half -4.1% to +1.1%), and -1.8% over 20.
After 40 past bearish macro events, Soybean Oil moved a median -0.8% over 5 sessions (45% higher; middle half -4.5% to +1.7%), and -1.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
The 4-month low on Feb 25 and softer Malaysian exports show the selling pressure building at the start of the window, though it falls partly before the window opens.
