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Oil fell about 8% and WTI settled below $96 for the first time since early April, as recession fears grew amid rising COVID cases in China and looming U.S. inflation data. Money managers cut their bullish positions to the lowest since 2020.
Recession-driven demand destruction lowers energy and diesel costs, but also weakens risk appetite across commodities. Lower crude reduces biofuel-linked support for vegetable oils and corn.
aljazeera.comJulia Fanzeres, BloombergJul 12, 2022After 565 past bearish macro events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median -1.4% over 5 sessions (41% higher; middle half -5.9% to +3.0%), and -0.5% over 20.
After 312 past bearish macro events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median -1.7% over 5 sessions (38% higher; middle half -5.4% to +2.3%), and -1.7% over 20.
After 79 past bearish macro events, ULSD / Diesel moved a median -1.0% over 5 sessions (39% higher; middle half -5.7% to +1.7%), and -1.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
