
WTI crude settled below $100 a barrel on Tuesday, down 8.2%, its lowest level since April. The decline was attributed to recession concerns and a drop in expected energy demand.
Expectations of weaker energy demand push down crude and diesel costs, lowering feed transport and processing expenses while signaling softer commodity demand.
After 565 past bearish macro events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median -1.4% over 5 sessions (41% higher; middle half -5.9% to +3.0%), and -0.5% over 20.
After 79 past bearish macro events, ULSD / Diesel moved a median -1.0% over 5 sessions (39% higher; middle half -5.7% to +1.7%), and -1.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
WTI fell below $100 on July 5 on recession concerns and lower expected energy demand.
WTI falling below $100 on recession worries confirms the crude-led demand-destruction sentiment pulling diesel futures down.